All Outcomes
40 candidates1Bernadette Wilson
31.0%
2Tom
26.5%
3Nancy Dahlstrom
17.0%
4Click Bishop
8.9%
5Lisa Murkowski
7.9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 31% | NO: 69%
$327,857 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Nov 3, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 31% probability has been shaped by $327,857 in trading activity.
This is a multi-outcome market with 40 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Bernadette Wilson will win, you can buy YES shares at 31.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 223% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.