What are the current odds for "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"?

The current YES odds are 61% and NO odds are 39% on Polymarket. Total trading volume is $30.9M.

How much has been traded on "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"?

Total trading volume for this market is $30.9M with $15.3M in liquidity.

What is the sentiment on this market?

Based on recent flow analysis, the market sentiment is neutral. There have been 0 whale trades (>$10K) in the last 24 hours.

Polymarket Soccer: 61% Odds — Whale Flow & Smart Money

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Ends Oct 31, 2026Soccer

All Outcomes

89 candidates

1Harry Kane

61.3%

2Lamine Yamal

16.3%

3Rodri

7.5%

4Kylian Mbappé

6.5%

5Lionel Messi

2.8%

6Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

2.3%

7Ousmane Dembélé

1.4%

8Fabian Ruiz

0.9%

9Erling Haaland

0.3%

10Jude

0.1%

11Michael Olise

0.1%

12Vitinha

0.1%

13Pau Cubarsi

0.1%

14Mohamed Salah

0.1%

15Vinícius Júnior

0.1%

16Pedri

0.1%

17Cole Palmer

0.1%

18Declan Rice

0.1%

19Federico Valverde

0.1%

20Julian Alvarez

0.1%

21Desire Doue

0.1%

22Raphinha

0.1%

23Achraf Hakimi

0.1%

24Bruno Fernandes

0.1%

25Luis Diaz

0.1%

26Lautaro Martinez

0.1%

27Dominik Szoboszlai

0.1%

28Cristiano Ronaldo

0.1%

29Rodrygo

0.1%

30Enzo Fernandez

0.1%

Showing top 30 of 89 candidates

Volume

$30.9M

Liquidity

$15.3M

24h Trades

Whale Trades

24h Flow Analysis

Buy Flow: $0Sell Flow: $0

Flow Imbalance0.0%

⚖️ Neutral flow - balanced buying and selling

Track This Market

Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.

View Full Flow Dashboard

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds?

YES: 61% | NO: 39%

How much volume has been traded?

$30.9M total volume

What is the market sentiment?

Neutral - balanced flow

When does this market end?

Oct 31, 2026

Related Soccer Markets

MLS Cup Winner 2026

21% YES$19.8M

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

50% YES$14.9M

EPL: 2027 Champion

53% YES$10.3M

View all Soccer markets →

About This Market

Sports prediction markets often incorporate real-time information faster than traditional betting lines. This market has attracted $30.9M in trading volume. The 61% probability reflects the current market consensus based on all available information.

What's Driving the Odds

High Volume: With $30.9M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.

How to Trade This Market

This is a multi-outcome market with 89 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.

Example: If you think Harry Kane will win, you can buy YES shares at 61.3¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 63% return.

Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ends Oct 31, 2026Soccer

All Outcomes

89 candidates

1Harry Kane

61.3%

2Lamine Yamal

16.3%

3Rodri

7.5%

4Kylian Mbappé

6.5%

5Lionel Messi

2.8%

6Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

2.3%

7Ousmane Dembélé

1.4%

8Fabian Ruiz

0.9%

9Erling Haaland

0.3%

10Jude

0.1%

11Michael Olise

0.1%

12Vitinha

0.1%

13Pau Cubarsi

0.1%

14Mohamed Salah

0.1%

15Vinícius Júnior

0.1%

16Pedri

0.1%

17Cole Palmer

0.1%

18Declan Rice

0.1%

19Federico Valverde

0.1%

20Julian Alvarez

0.1%

21Desire Doue

0.1%

22Raphinha

0.1%

23Achraf Hakimi

0.1%

24Bruno Fernandes

0.1%

25Luis Diaz

0.1%

26Lautaro Martinez

0.1%

27Dominik Szoboszlai

0.1%

28Cristiano Ronaldo

0.1%

29Rodrygo

0.1%

30Enzo Fernandez

0.1%

Showing top 30 of 89 candidates

Volume

$30.9M

Liquidity

$15.3M

24h Trades

Whale Trades

24h Flow Analysis

Buy Flow: $0Sell Flow: $0

Flow Imbalance0.0%

⚖️ Neutral flow - balanced buying and selling

Track This Market

Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.

View Full Flow Dashboard

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds?

YES: 61% | NO: 39%

How much volume has been traded?

$30.9M total volume

What is the market sentiment?

Neutral - balanced flow

When does this market end?

Oct 31, 2026

Related Soccer Markets

MLS Cup Winner 2026

21% YES$19.8M

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

50% YES$14.9M

EPL: 2027 Champion

53% YES$10.3M

View all Soccer markets →

About This Market

What's Driving the Odds

High Volume: With $30.9M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.

How to Trade This Market

This is a multi-outcome market with 89 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.

Example: If you think Harry Kane will win, you can buy YES shares at 61.3¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 63% return.

Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.