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© 2026 Insider Trade Flow. Not financial advice. All data sourced from public SEC filings, 13F reports, and Polymarket.
Polymarket/Soccer

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Ends Oct 31, 2026Soccer

All Outcomes

89 candidates
1Kylian Mbappé
30.5%
2Harry Kane
27.3%
3Ousmane Dembélé
16.2%
4Lionel Messi
13.1%
5Lamine Yamal
5.5%
6
Erling Haaland
3.6%
7Michael Olise
3.2%
8Declan Rice
0.8%
9Pedri
0.5%
10Jude
0.4%
11Lautaro Martinez
0.4%
12Mohamed Salah
0.3%
13Vitinha
0.3%
14Vinícius Júnior
0.1%
15Cole Palmer
0.1%
16Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
0.1%
17Federico Valverde
0.1%
18Julian Alvarez
0.1%
19Desire Doue
0.1%
20Raphinha
0.1%
21Achraf Hakimi
0.1%
22Bruno Fernandes
0.1%
23Luis Diaz
0.1%
24Dominik Szoboszlai
0.1%
25Cristiano Ronaldo
0.1%
Showing top 30 of 89 candidates
Volume
$6.6M
Liquidity
$1.3M
24h Trades
0
Whale Trades
0

24h Flow Analysis

Buy Flow: $0Sell Flow: $0
Flow Imbalance0.0%
⚖️ Neutral flow - balanced buying and selling

Track This Market

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds?

YES: 31% | NO: 70%

How much volume has been traded?

$6.6M total volume

What is the market sentiment?

Neutral - balanced flow

When does this market end?

Oct 31, 2026

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Norway vs. England - Exact Score
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View all Soccer markets →

About This Market

Sports prediction markets often incorporate real-time information faster than traditional betting lines. This market has attracted $6.6M in trading volume. The 31% probability reflects the current market consensus based on all available information.

What's Driving the Odds

High Volume: With $6.6M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.

How to Trade This Market

This is a multi-outcome market with 89 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.

Example: If you think Kylian Mbappé will win, you can buy YES shares at 30.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 228% return.

Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.