All Outcomes
26 candidates1Claude 5 not
99.8%
2Claude 5
0.1%
3Claude 5
0.1%
Volume
$662,206
Liquidity
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by February 28" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is not made available to the general public by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Anthropic's Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g., Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 100% | NO: 0%
$662,206 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 28, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $662,206 in trading volume with $31,166 in liquidity. The 100% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 1 day. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
This is a multi-outcome market with 26 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Claude 5 not will win, you can buy YES shares at 99.8¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 0% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.