All Outcomes
12 candidates1DeepSeek V4 released by May 15
100.0%
2DeepSeek V4 released by April 30
100.0%
3DeepSeek V4 released by April 28
100.0%
4DeepSeek V4 released by April 26
100.0%
5DeepSeek V4 released by April 24
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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$2.4M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Apr 15, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $2.4M in trading volume with $0 in liquidity. The 100% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
High Volume: With $2.4M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 12 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think DeepSeek V4 released by May 15 will win, you can buy YES shares at 100.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 0% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.