This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 98% | NO: 2%
$451,734 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
May 12, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 9,034 trades. The current price of 98¢ implies a 98% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 15 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi- will win, you can buy YES shares at 97.9¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 2% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.