This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Genius's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Genius will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Genius (https://x.com/GeniusTerminal) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 99% | NO: 1%
$801,365 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jan 1, 2028
Crypto prediction markets provide unique exposure to specific blockchain outcomes. With $256,200 in available liquidity, traders can take meaningful positions on this outcome. The current 99% odds reflect collective market sentiment.
This is a multi-outcome market with 8 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch will win, you can buy YES shares at 99.2¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 1% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.