This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.3 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.3, or a general-purpose variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.2, similar to the core-version progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. Model releases that do not resemble this core version progression, such as task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family, as well as products labeled GPT-6 or similar, will not qualify for this market. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 94% | NO: 6%
$478,918 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $478,918 in trading volume with $52,059 in liquidity. The 94% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
This is a multi-outcome market with 5 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 94.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 6% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.