All Outcomes
5 candidates1GPT-6
76.0%
2GPT-6
68.5%
3GPT-6
21.5%
4GPT-6
4.5%
Volume
$290,329
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 76% | NO: 24%
$290,329 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2025
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $290,329 in trading volume with $25,337 in liquidity. The 76% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
This is a multi-outcome market with 5 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think GPT-6 will win, you can buy YES shares at 76.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 32% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.