YES
5.5%
$0.05 per share
NO
94.5%
$0.95 per share
Volume
$13.1M
Liquidity
$749,047
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 5% | NO: 95%
$13.1M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 262,458 trades. The current price of 5¢ implies a 5% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $13.1M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.05, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1735% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.95, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 6% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 5%, there may be a trading opportunity.