All Outcomes
8 candidates1Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
76.5%
2Tesla deliver
12.5%
3Tesla deliver
5.9%
4Tesla deliver
2.0%
5Tesla deliver
0.6%
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 77% | NO: 24%
$512,246 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 10,244 trades. The current price of 77¢ implies a 77% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 8 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 76.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 31% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.