YES
6.0%
$0.06 per share
NO
94.0%
$0.94 per share
Volume
$1.9M
Liquidity
$21,373
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 6% | NO: 94%
$1.9M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 37,100 trades. The current price of 6¢ implies a 6% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.9M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.06, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1553% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.94, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 6% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 6%, there may be a trading opportunity.