All Outcomes
4 candidates1Insurrection Act invoked by December 31
26.5%
2Insurrection Act invoked by June 30
10.5%
3Insurrection Act invoked by March 31
3.7%
Volume
$875,440
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 27% | NO: 74%
$875,440 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 17,508 trades. The current price of 27¢ implies a 27% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 4 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Insurrection Act invoked by December 31 will win, you can buy YES shares at 26.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 277% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.