This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 0% | NO: 100%
$5.7M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 114,198 trades. The current price of 0¢ implies a 0% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $5.7M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 199900% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 0%, there may be a trading opportunity.