This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployment rate for both sexes, displayed as a percent) reported in the Japan Labour Force Survey for January 2026. The resolution source for this market is e-Stat, the portal site of Official Statistics of Japan. The monthly unemployment rate reported in the Labour Force Survey is published each month in the table titled “Labour Force participation rate, employment rate and unemployment rate” at https://www.e-stat.go.jp/en/dbview?sid=0003005865. The relevant figure may be found with ‘Rate [%]’, ‘All industries’, ‘Unemployed person’, and ‘All Japan’ selected, in the column for Both sexes and the row for the relevant month. The next data release is scheduled for March 3, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 41% | NO: 59%
$427,117 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 3, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 8,542 trades. The current price of 41¢ implies a 41% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 5 days. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
This is a multi-outcome market with 7 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate will win, you can buy YES shares at 40.9¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 144% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.