This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market in the Event 'Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?' (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/judy-shelton-fed-chair-nomination-odds-5-by-feb-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 50% | NO: 100%
$1.2M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 20, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $1.2M in trading volume with $0 in liquidity. The 50% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
High Volume: With $1.2M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.50, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 100% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 50%, there may be a trading opportunity.