This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 43% | NO: 57%
$1.3M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2027
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 26,616 trades. The current price of 43¢ implies a 43% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.3M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 30 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliat will win, you can buy YES shares at 43.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 133% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.