All Outcomes
15 candidates1Karen Bass
61.5%
2Nithya Raman
38.3%
3Asaad Alnajjar
0.1%
4Adam Miller
0.1%
Volume
$12.9M
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 62% | NO: 39%
$12.9M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 2, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 62% probability has been shaped by $12.9M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $12.9M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 15 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Karen Bass will win, you can buy YES shares at 61.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 63% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.