On January 24, 2026, a federal immigration agent shot and killed a man in Minneapolis, Minnesota, during a federal immigration enforcement operation (see: https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/ice-minneapolis-shooting-01-24-26). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 7% | NO: 94%
$549,772 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 10,995 trades. The current price of 7¢ implies a 7% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.07, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1438% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.94, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 7% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 7%, there may be a trading opportunity.