This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moltbook shuts down by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a shutdown means Moltbook ceases operations such that its primary website is no longer publicly accessible and the platform is discontinued. An official announcement that Moltbook is closing, winding down, or discontinuing the service will qualify regardless of when the shutdown is fully implemented. Temporary outages, maintenance, cyberattacks, domain or hosting issues, paywalls, limited functionality, invite-only transitions, ownership changes, restructurings, bankruptcies, acquisitions, or migrations to a new domain will not qualify so long as the core platform remains operational in any publicly accessible form. The primary resolution source will be official statements from Moltbook; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 0% | NO: 100%
$281,551 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 28, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 5,631 trades. The current price of 0¢ implies a 0% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 199900% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 0%, there may be a trading opportunity.