The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 41% | NO: 59%
$287,226 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
May 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 5,744 trades. The current price of 41¢ implies a 41% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.41, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 144% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.59, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 69% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 41%, there may be a trading opportunity.