All Outcomes
22 candidates1John Ternus
54.5%
2Sabih Khan
22.0%
3Craig Federighi
9.5%
4Greg Joswiak
7.7%
Volume
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 55% | NO: 46%
$628,762 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 12,575 trades. The current price of 55¢ implies a 55% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 22 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think John Ternus will win, you can buy YES shares at 54.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 83% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.