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Polymarket/French Election

Next French Presidential Election

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Ends Apr 30, 2027French Election

All Outcomes

128 candidates
1Marine Le Pen
33.3%
2Édouard Philippe
24.5%
3Jean-Luc Mélenchon
14.5%
4Gabriel Attal
3.9%
5François Hollande
3.4%
6Jordan Bardella
2.6%
7David Lisnard
2.6%
8Raphaël Glucksmann
1.8%
9Bruno Retailleau
1.8%
10Dominique de Villepin
1.7%
11Sarah Knafo
1.6%
12Sébastien Lecornu
1.4%
13Éric Zemmour
0.8%
14Michel Barnier
0.3%
15Bernard Cazeneuve
0.3%
16Xavier
0.1%
17Laurent Wauquiez
0.1%
18François Ruffin
0.1%
19Marine Tondelier
0.1%
20Fabien Roussel
0.1%
21Olivier Faure
0.1%
22Ségolène Royal
0.1%
23François Asselineau
0.1%
24Clémentine Autain
0.1%
25Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
0.1%
26Valérie Pécresse
0.1%
27François Bayrou
0.1%
28Élisabeth Borne
0.1%
29Yaël Braun-Pivet
0.1%
30Jean Castex
0.1%
Showing top 30 of 128 candidates
Volume
$121.9M
Liquidity
$15.5M
24h Trades
0
Whale Trades
0

24h Flow Analysis

Buy Flow: $0Sell Flow: $0
Flow Imbalance0.0%
⚖️ Neutral flow - balanced buying and selling

Track This Market

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds?

YES: 33% | NO: 67%

How much volume has been traded?

$121.9M total volume

What is the market sentiment?

Neutral - balanced flow

When does this market end?

Apr 30, 2027

About This Market

This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 33% probability has been shaped by $121.9M in trading activity.

What's Driving the Odds

High Volume: With $121.9M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.

How to Trade This Market

This is a multi-outcome market with 128 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.

Example: If you think Marine Le Pen will win, you can buy YES shares at 33.3¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 200% return.

Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.