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© 2026 Insider Trade Flow. Not financial advice. All data sourced from public SEC filings, 13F reports, and Polymarket.
Polymarket/Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Ends Oct 10, 2026Awards

All Outcomes

71 candidates
1UNRWA
10.8%
2Volodymyr Zelenskyy
8.1%
3Yulia Navalnaya
7.5%
4Pope Leo XIV
5.1%
5Donald Trump
4.1%
6
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
4.1%
7the International Court of Justice
2.3%
8Narendra Modi
2.1%
9Greta Thunberg
1.4%
10Julian Assange
1.3%
11António Guterres
1.1%
12Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
1.1%
13Ahmed al-Sharaa
0.9%
14Xi Jinping
0.8%
15Charlie Kirk
0.8%
16Mohammed bin Salman
0.8%
17Elon Musk
0.7%
18Khaled Mashal
0.7%
19Vladimir Putin
0.3%
20Benjamin Netanyahu
0.3%
Showing top 30 of 71 candidates
Volume
$22.3M
Liquidity
$2.1M
24h Trades
0
Whale Trades
0

24h Flow Analysis

Buy Flow: $0Sell Flow: $0
Flow Imbalance0.0%
⚖️ Neutral flow - balanced buying and selling

Track This Market

Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds?

YES: 11% | NO: 89%

How much volume has been traded?

$22.3M total volume

What is the market sentiment?

Neutral - balanced flow

When does this market end?

Oct 10, 2026

About This Market

Sports prediction markets often incorporate real-time information faster than traditional betting lines. This market has attracted $22.3M in trading volume. The 11% probability reflects the current market consensus based on all available information.

What's Driving the Odds

High Volume: With $22.3M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.

How to Trade This Market

This is a multi-outcome market with 71 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.

Example: If you think UNRWA will win, you can buy YES shares at 10.8¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 826% return.

Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.