YES
57.0%
$0.57 per share
NO
43.0%
$0.43 per share
Volume
$337,827
Liquidity
$20,934
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 57% | NO: 43%
$337,827 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 6,756 trades. The current price of 57¢ implies a 57% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.57, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 75% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.43, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 133% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 57%, there may be a trading opportunity.