This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on February 26 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 58% | NO: 42%
$52,111 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 26, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 1,042 trades. The current price of 58¢ implies a 58% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 1 day. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.58, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 72% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.42, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 139% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 58%, there may be a trading opportunity.