This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 1% | NO: 99%
$790,061 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 15,801 trades. The current price of 1¢ implies a 1% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.01, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 7307% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.99, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 1%, there may be a trading opportunity.