All Outcomes
128 candidates1JD Vance
22.7%
2Gavin Newsom
17.3%
3Marco Rubio
8.1%
4Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6.0%
5Kamala Harris
3.5%
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 23% | NO: 77%
$332.7M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Nov 7, 2028
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 23% probability has been shaped by $332.7M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $332.7M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 128 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think JD Vance will win, you can buy YES shares at 22.7¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 341% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.