This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 90% | NO: 10%
$1.5M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 30,185 trades. The current price of 90¢ implies a 90% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.5M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 37 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Elon Musk will win, you can buy YES shares at 90.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 11% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.