All Outcomes
7 candidates1SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026
93.5%
2SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026
91.5%
3SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026
59.0%
4SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026
10.3%
5SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 94% | NO: 7%
$1.3M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 26,536 trades. The current price of 94¢ implies a 94% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.3M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 7 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 93.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 7% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.