All Outcomes
5 candidates1Starmer out by December 31, 2026
68.5%
2Starmer out by June 30, 2026
52.5%
3Starmer out by March 31, 2026
14.5%
4Starmer out by February 28, 2026
0.6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 69% | NO: 32%
$8.6M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2025
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 171,057 trades. The current price of 69¢ implies a 69% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $8.6M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 5 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Starmer out by December 31, 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 68.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 46% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.