YES
50.0%
$0.50 per share
NO
100.0%
$1.00 per share
Volume
$158,110
Liquidity
$0
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump definitively announces that the United States will initiate military action against Iran during his 2026 State of the Union address scheduled for Feb 24. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Trump must clearly and definitively state that military force will be used against Iran. Statements that military action is under consideration, warnings, threats, or conditional remarks will not qualify. Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes or any other action which does constitute direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify. Announcements from Trump that the U.S. will strike Iran which Trump refutes or qualifies during the address such that the original statement is no longer understood as definitive will not qualify. The announcement must occur during the official 2026 State of the Union address. If the 2026 state of the union does not occur by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be video of the address.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 50% | NO: 100%
$158,110 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 25, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $158,110 in trading volume with $0 in liquidity. The 50% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.50, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 100% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 50%, there may be a trading opportunity.