All Outcomes
11 candidates1S&P 500 (SPX)
100.0%
2S&P 500 (SPX)
100.0%
3S&P 500 (SPX)
24.5%
4S&P 500 (SPX)
9.4%
5S&P 500 (SPX)
4.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for February 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 100% | NO: 50%
$280,151 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 28, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 5,603 trades. The current price of 100¢ implies a 100% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 2 days. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
This is a multi-outcome market with 11 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think S&P 500 (SPX) will win, you can buy YES shares at 100.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 0% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.