All Outcomes
7 candidates1Ciena (CIEN)
100.0%
2Vertiv Holdings (VRT)
79.0%
3SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
29.5%
4Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
24.5%
5Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index. An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 100% | NO: 50%
$395,663 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 7,913 trades. The current price of 100¢ implies a 100% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 7 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Ciena (CIEN) will win, you can buy YES shares at 100.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 0% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.