All Outcomes
11 candidates1Anthropic
100.0%
2OpenAI
28.0%
3xAI
12.0%
4Meta
10.5%
5DeepSeek
8.6%
6
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 100% | NO: 50%
$1.4M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 30, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $1.4M in trading volume with $52,621 in liquidity. The 100% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
High Volume: With $1.4M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 11 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Anthropic will win, you can buy YES shares at 100.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 0% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.