All Outcomes
7 candidates1Somaliland join the Abraham Accords
39.5%
2Syria join the Abraham Accords
21.5%
3Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords
19.5%
4Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords
18.5%
5Lebanon join the Abraham Accords
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 40% | NO: 61%
$562,368 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 11,247 trades. The current price of 40¢ implies a 40% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 7 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Somaliland join the Abraham Accords will win, you can buy YES shares at 39.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 153% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.