All Outcomes
7 candidates1Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok
100.0%
2Microsoft acquire TikTok
8.6%
3Walmart acquire TikTok
8.2%
4Amazon acquire TikTok
6.4%
5Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 100% | NO: 50%
$1.0M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 20,201 trades. The current price of 100¢ implies a 100% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.0M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 7 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok will win, you can buy YES shares at 100.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 0% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.