YES
64.5%
$0.65 per share
NO
35.5%
$0.35 per share
Volume
$335,839
Liquidity
$31,432
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 65% | NO: 36%
$335,839 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 6,716 trades. The current price of 65¢ implies a 65% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.65, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 55% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.35, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 182% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 65%, there may be a trading opportunity.