YES
8.0%
$0.08 per share
NO
92.0%
$0.92 per share
Volume
$12.6M
Liquidity
$413,631
24h Trades
0
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 8% | NO: 92%
$12.6M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Nov 7, 2028
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 8% probability has been shaped by $12.6M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $12.6M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.08, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1158% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.92, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 9% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 8%, there may be a trading opportunity.