YES
97.2%
$0.97 per share
NO
2.8%
$0.03 per share
Volume
$3.3M
Liquidity
$90,200
24h Trades
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 97% | NO: 3%
$3.3M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 28, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $3.3M in trading volume with $90,200 in liquidity. The 97% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
High Volume: With $3.3M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 2 days. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.97, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 3% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.03, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 3471% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 97%, there may be a trading opportunity.