YES
56.5%
$0.57 per share
NO
43.5%
$0.43 per share
Volume
$445,070
Liquidity
$16,250
24h Trades
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 57% | NO: 43%
$445,070 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $445,070 in trading volume with $16,250 in liquidity. The 57% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.57, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 77% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.43, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 130% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 57%, there may be a trading opportunity.