This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized. If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 27% | NO: 73%
$358,577 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jan 1, 2027
Crypto prediction markets provide unique exposure to specific blockchain outcomes. With $31,818 in available liquidity, traders can take meaningful positions on this outcome. The current 27% odds reflect collective market sentiment.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.27, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 270% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.73, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 37% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 27%, there may be a trading opportunity.