The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 58% | NO: 42%
$209,653 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Invalid Date
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 58% probability has been shaped by $209,653 in trading activity.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.58, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 72% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.42, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 138% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 58%, there may be a trading opportunity.