YES
28.6%
$0.29 per share
NO
71.4%
$0.71 per share
Volume
$6.1M
Liquidity
$178,711
24h Trades
0
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 29% | NO: 71%
$6.1M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Oct 4, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 29% probability has been shaped by $6.1M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $6.1M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.29, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 249% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.71, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 40% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 29%, there may be a trading opportunity.