YES
14.8%
$0.15 per share
NO
85.2%
$0.85 per share
Volume
$27.0M
Liquidity
$349,882
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 15% | NO: 85%
$27.0M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Nov 7, 2028
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 15% probability has been shaped by $27.0M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $27.0M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.15, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 573% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.85, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 17% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 15%, there may be a trading opportunity.