YES
0.9%
$0.01 per share
NO
99.1%
$0.99 per share
Volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$139,132
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of February 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 1% | NO: 99%
$1.3M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 28, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 26,316 trades. The current price of 1¢ implies a 1% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.3M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 2 days. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.01, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 11011% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.99, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 1%, there may be a trading opportunity.