This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilhan Omar announces she has resigned, will resign, or will not run for re-election for United States Representative from Minnesota by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Ilhan Omar to resign or to announce her resignation (e.g., due to her removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Ilhan Omar announce that she has resigned or will resign or will not run for re-election. Whether she actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 1% | NO: 99%
$1.6M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 31,222 trades. The current price of 1¢ implies a 1% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.6M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.01, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 9424% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.99, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 1%, there may be a trading opportunity.