All Outcomes
5 candidates1Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31
26.0%
2Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30
17.0%
3Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31
3.5%
4Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28
0.1%
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 26% | NO: 74%
$1.3M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jun 30, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 26,379 trades. The current price of 26¢ implies a 26% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
High Volume: With $1.3M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 5 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31 will win, you can buy YES shares at 26.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 285% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.