YES
100.0%
$1.00 per share
NO
50.0%
$0.50 per share
Volume
$2.2M
Liquidity
$0
24h Trades
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Prime Minister of Japan, as a result of this election. This market will resolve to Sanae Takaichi if she remains Prime Minister as a result of this election. Any other individual must be formally appointed by the Japanese Emperor to qualify. If the results of this election are not officially released by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 100% | NO: 50%
$2.2M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Apr 30, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 100% probability has been shaped by $2.2M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $2.2M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.50, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 100% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 100%, there may be a trading opportunity.