YES
8.1%
$0.08 per share
NO
92.0%
$0.92 per share
Volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$68,649
24h Trades
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 8% | NO: 92%
$1.4M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jan 1, 2027
Crypto prediction markets provide unique exposure to specific blockchain outcomes. With $68,649 in available liquidity, traders can take meaningful positions on this outcome. The current 8% odds reflect collective market sentiment.
High Volume: With $1.4M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.08, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1142% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.92, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 9% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 8%, there may be a trading opportunity.