YES
100.0%
$1.00 per share
NO
50.0%
$0.50 per share
Volume
$31,759
Liquidity
$0
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 100% | NO: 50%
$31,759 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 635 trades. The current price of 100¢ implies a 100% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.50, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 100% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 100%, there may be a trading opportunity.